Posts by orcalayer

@orcalayer

OrcaLayer

The clean data layer for Polymarket prediction markets
Ukraine orcalayer.com Joined August 2026
363 Points • 25 Badges • 1 Connections • 1 Followers • 4 Following

Posts by orcalayer

orcalayer • • in Articles • 4 min read
Multi-agent swarms are a popular way to get "more than one model" out of an LLM: generate dozens of personas from your documents, let them post and argue on a simulated social network, then read off what the crowd thinks. We tested one, the open-sour...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 5 min read
Polymarket insider trading makes headlines every few weeks, so an insider score sounds like an obvious feature for a Polymarket analytics site. We built one, called it the Early score, wrote the rules down before running it, and tested it on 355,732 ...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 2 min read
We recorded the order book of every Polymarket football soccer market for three weeks and tested two in-play ideas: buying a team right after a late price jump at a level score, and protecting goal bets with a stop-loss. Neither paid. Buying the jump...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 3 min read
Copy trading is the most common bot idea on Polymarket: find the wallets that win and buy what they buy. We tested it on five sports MLB, NFL, college football, League of Legends and Valorant and it did not survive. The full results are on our bloght...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 3 min read
We spent a few weeks trying to build a profitable Polymarket bot. Arbitrage between linked markets, in-play market making, copying wallets that trade before goals, betting against miscalibrated prices. We recorded the full order book for every footba...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 10 min read
Checked against the Polymarket Gamma API on 24 September 2026. Short answer. OrcaLayer compared the endDate field with the written rules on 23 Polymarket markets. Polymarket's documentation describes a market's end date as the point when it becomes ...
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orcalayer • • in Articles • 4 min read
A 90% win rate looks like proof of skill. On Polymarket it usually isn't. Of the 70,711 wallets currently showing a 90% or higher win rate, about 61%, or 43,179 of them, are airdrop farmers. They never took a real position. They bought outcomes that ...
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orcalayer • • in Tutorials • 3 min read
If you want Polymarket whale data in your own code, a dashboard, a trading model, or an AI agent, you need an API, not a website. Here is what the OrcaLayer REST API exposes and how to start. How do developers access a Polymarket REST API? Through ...
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