
æ°åå€åã¯æªè³ªã§å±éºãªç¥è©±
å èšäºã¯ãã¡ã/Original article here
ç§ãã¡ãç Žæ» ãããããšããŠããã®ã¯ãå°çæž©æåã®ããã§ãããçæ°ã®ç·ãåœç°å¢ä¿è·äž»çŸ©è ãèè·è ãèªå·±äžå¿çãªäººã ã¯ãç§ãã¡ã«åç³çæãæã¡ãæãè²§ãã人ã ã逿»ãããåæ»ããå·ããæ®é ·ãªäžçã§çããããšã匷èŠããéžã°ããå°æ°ã®äººã ã«ãã£ãŠãç§ãã¡ã殺ãããšããŠããã®ã§ããèªç§°ãšãªãŒãã¯çŸå®ãç¡èŠããïŒæ¯æžããåç³çæããäœãããïŒé»æ°ãåŽæããäœããªããšããããç䌌ç§åŠã®å±æ©ãäœãåºããŠãç§ãã¡ã®ç掻ããäººéæ§ãè¯èãå°å³ãæ¬æãæå§ãã远ãåºãããšããã®ã§ããã
æ°åå€åã«é¢ããæ¿åºéããã«ïŒIPCCïŒã¯ã2.5床ãã4.0床ã®å°çæž©æåã«ãã£ãŠã2100幎ãŸã§ã«äžçã®GDPã2ïŒ ãã5ïŒ æžå°ãããã2100幎ãŸã§ã«äžççµæžã¯çŸåšãã300ïŒ ãã500ïŒ å€§ãããªããšäºæž¬ããŠãããããã¯ãæ°åå€åãäžççµæžã«é¡èãªåœ±é¿ãäžãããšãã䞻匵ã厩ããã®ã§ããã
åœéãšãã«ã®ãŒæ©é¢ïŒIEAïŒã¯ã2040幎ãŸã§å°çãå¿ èŠãšãããšãã«ã®ãŒã®ãã¡ãåçå¯èœè³æºïŒæšãçããããã€ãªãã¹ãïŒã«ãããã®ã¯ãŸã 5ïŒ çšåºŠã«éããªããšçºè¡šããŠããããããçã£ãç°å¢ä¿è·äž»çŸ©è ãã¡ãåç³çæã®äœ¿çšãæ¢ããã°ãééããªãäœååãã®äººã ãå¯ããšé£¢ãã§åœãèœãšãããšã«ãªãã ããã
ãã¡ãããåããã«ããŠèªå·±æºè¶³ã«æµžã£ãŠããç¡ç¥ãªå°çæž©æåã«ã«ã䞻矩è ã®å€§åã¯ãå®éã«äžçãçµããããšããŠããããšãä¿¡ããŠããããã®äžæµéçŽã®ã«ã«ãä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯ãèªåãã¡ããæã ã®èªç±ãšäººéæ§ã奪ãã瀟äŒçä¿¡çšãšããžã¿ã«è²šå¹£ã§æã ãæ¯é ããããšããé°è¬è ãã¡ã®ããã«åããŠããããšã«ãããŸãã«ãæãã§ãããææ°ã®æ²æšãªãã³ã»ã³ã¹ã¯ãç§ãã¡ãé·éŽãå±¥ããŠè¿ãã®å±±ã«è¡ããåæ»ã逿»ããéžã¹ããããªãã£ã³ããããéããªãããã³ãã³ã®äžå¿éšã®ãã¹ãŠã氎没ããŠããŸããšãããã®ã ãçã£ãã«ã«ãä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯ãå°çã¯çãæ®ãããæ°Žã倩ã«åãã£ãŠå®¹èµŠãªãäžæããã«ã€ããŠäœååãã®äººã ãæ»ã¬ãšèšãããŠããããã¡ãããäœã®æ ¹æ ããªãã圌ãã¯ãã®èšç»ããå°çæž©æåããšåŒãã§å§ããããå°çãæãããªãããå·ãããªãããšã®æ¹ãå€ãããšãæããã«ãªããæ°åå€åãšåŒã¹ã°ãããå€ãã®çš®é¡ã®èªç¶çœå®³ããããã¬ã³ãã«å«ããäœå°ããããšæ°ã¥ããã®ã§ãè©æ¬ºã®ååãå€ããããåŸãªããªã£ãããããŠãã®è©æ¬ºã¯ãã°ã¬ãŒãã»ãªã»ããã«åããããã«æ°å幎åã«äœãããã®ã§ããã
ã€ã®ãªã¹ã®å¿çåŠè ã°ã«ãŒãã¯ãæ°åå€åãç§ãã¡ã®æªæ¥ã«åœ±é¿ãåãŒããšäºæž¬ãã人ãã¡ã«ããæãããäºæž¬ã«ãã£ãŠãåã©ããã¡ãäžå®ã«æ©ãŸãããŠãããšå ±åããŠããããã®ã¹ãã¬ã¹ã¯ãã¹ãŠãã³ããã19ã®è©æ¬ºã«ãã£ãŠåŒãèµ·ããããå€§èŠæš¡ãªäžå®ã«è¿œå ãããªããã°ãªããªãã
å°çæž©æåããã¢ã¯ããå°çäžã®çåœã¯æ»ã«ã€ã€ãããäœååãã®äººã ãæ»ã«ãææã®åŽ©å£ã¯ãã§ã«å§ãŸã£ãŠããããšäºæž¬ããŠããã圌ãã¯ãŸããå°çæž©æåãããã³ãŒã¹ãã«äŸããããããã®èŠæš¡ã¯ã¯ããã«å€§ãããããããã®æ ¹æ ã¯äœäžã€ãªããäºå®ãèŠãŠãã ããã1920幎代ã«ã¯ã50äžäººãæ°è±¡çœå®³ã§æ»äº¡ããããã®10幎éã§ã¯ã1äž8å人ã§ããã1900幎ã«ã¯ãäžçã®åœåã®5ïŒ ãç«äºã«ãªã£ããä»ã§ã¯3ïŒ ã«è¿ãæ°åã«ãªã£ãŠãããã°ã¬ãŒãããªã¢ãªãŒãããããã§ã¯ã°ãã¯æŽ»æ³ãåããŠããŸãã
IPPCã®è©Šç®ã§ã¯ã2100幎ãŸã§ã«æµ·é¢ã2ãã£ãŒãäžæããå¯èœæ§ããããšããããªã©ã³ãã®3åã®1ã¯åžžã«æµ·é¢äžã«ããããã®äžéšã¯æµ·é¢äž60ãã£ãŒã以äžã§ããããšãèãããšããããã©ãã»ã©ã®å±æ©ã§ãããšèããã ãããïŒ
çä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯ããããçå®ã§ãããšç¹°ãè¿ãèããããŠããããããã®ãã³ã»ã³ã¹ãªããšãä¿¡ããŠãããBBCã¯çå®ã ãšèšããè°è«ãèš±ããªããèŠå¯ã¯ãã«ã«ãæå£ããã³ãã³ãééããã®ãèš±å¯ããŠããããªããªããçµæžã®æ®éªžãç Žå£ããããã«ã圌ãã®ããããããã«ããããšèšãããŠããããã ãã¡ãªã¿ã«ããã³ãã³ã«å·šå€§ãªãã³ã¯ã®ããŒãã«ã建ãŠãããããã§ãããããã¯äœã§ã§ããŠããã®ã ããããããŠãã®è£œé ã«ã©ãã ãã®ãšãã«ã®ãŒãæ¶è²»ãããã®ã ãããé»åå·¥å ·ã¯äœ¿ããªãã£ãã®ã ãããïŒã¡ãã£ãšæ°ã«ãªããŸãã
å°çæž©æåã®çä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯ãæããæ°è±¡ã¯ãã£ãããäžçã®çµãããè¿ããšèŠåããçä¿¡è ãã¡ãããããšã«æ°ã¥ããŠããªãããã§ããã1817幎ããã³ãã³ã®çç«åäŒäŒé·ã¯ãå€§èŠæš¡ãªå€åããããããããªããªãã®æ°åå€åãèµ·ããŠãããšèŠåããã1947幎ã«ã¯ãã¹ãŠã§ãŒãã³ã®å°çç©çåŠè ããæ°åãæž©æåããŠãããšèŠåããã1970幎代ã«ã¯ãèª€å ±ã®åžžé£ã§ããBBCããæ žæŠäºãšåããããçåœã«ãšã£ãŠå€§ããªè åšã§ããæ°·æ²³æã®å°æ¥ãèŠåããã2007幎ã«ã¯ãå°çãæãã®ã«ããš5幎ããããšèŠåãããã2011幎ãåœéãšãã«ã®ãŒæ©é¢ïŒIEAïŒã¯ãããš5幎ã§ãããšçºè¡šããã2017幎ãåœé£ã¯ããš3幎ã ãšèšã£ãã2013幎ãã±ã³ããªããžå€§åŠã®ææãã2015幎ãŸã§ã«åæ¥µã®æ°·ã¯ãã¹ãŠãªããªããšèšã£ãã2009幎ãåœæã®è±åœéŠçžãŽãŒãã³ã»ãã©ãŠã³ã¯ãçµæžãæ··ä¹±ãããæéãå²ããŠãããš50æ¥ã§ãããšèšã£ãã2004幎ã«ã¯ããªãã¶ãŒããŒçŽã2020幎ãŸã§ã«ã·ããªã¢ã®æ°åã§ç掻ããããšã«ãªãã ãããšäŒããŸããã11幎åããã£ãŒã«ãºç倪åã¯ãå°çãæãã«ã¯ããš8幎ããããšèšã£ãã
è¿å¹Žãå¥åŠãªæ°è±¡çŸè±¡ããããšããã°ãããã¯äººçºçãªãã®ã§ãããå¶ç¶ã§ã¯ãªããæå³çãªãã®ã§ãããç§ã¯ã蚌æ ã«ç®ãéããçæ§çãªç§åŠè ã¯ãå°çæž©æåã®ç¥è©±ãä¿¡ããŠãããšã¯æããªãã
éšãéããã³ã«ãæå£ã¯å°çæž©æåã®ããã«ããããããããã®å€ã€ã®ãªã¹ã§æãéšã®å€ãã£ãæ¥ã¯ã1929幎ã®3åã®1以äžã§ããã1955幎ã®ããŒã»ããå·ã®4åã®1ã§ãã£ããããªã±ãŒã³ãé »ç¹ã«çºçããããã«ãªã£ããšèšããããããããããã¯åã§ãããã¡ãã£ã¢ã¯åŸ®é¢šãåµãšã¿ãªããŠæ°åãäžããããšãããã蚌æ ã¯æããã§ãæãšæ¯ã¹ãŠããªã±ãŒã³ãå¢ããããã§ã¯ãªããã¡ãã£ã¢ã¯ãã®æ¹ãéœåãè¯ãããéšãã§ããã ããªã®ã§ããæ£®æç«çœãæžã£ãŠãããæ°åå€åéåå®¶ã¯ã森æç«çœã¯å°çæž©æåã®çµæã§ãããšäž»åŒµããŠããããããããªãŒã¹ãã©ãªã¢ãšã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®å°éå®¶ã¯ãæ°åå€åãæ£®æç«çœã®çºçã«ã»ãšãã©åœ±é¿ãåãŒããŠããªããšçµè«ã¥ããŠããïŒãããã«ããŠãã以åããé »åºŠã¯äœäžããŠããïŒãã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®æ£®æç«çœã®å¹Žéå¹³åçŒå€±é¢ç©ã¯ãçŸåšçŽ660äžãšãŒã«ãŒã§ãã
1928å¹Žåœæãã¢ã¡ãªã«ã®æ£®æç«çœã§å€±ããã幎éå¹³åé¢ç©ã¯4,170äžãšãŒã«ãŒã§ããã6.6ããã41.7ã®æ¹ã倧ããªæ°åã§ããããšã¯ééããªãã§ãããã
1931幎ïŒããŒã¯ïŒãã2020幎ãŸã§ã®éã«ãäžçäžã®èªç¶çœå®³ã«ããæ»è æ°ã¯99.7ïŒ æžå°ããŠããã
ç Žæ» è«è ã®è¶³å ã§æãã§ããã«ã«ãä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯ãç³çããªããã°ééŒãäœãããééŒããªããã°é¢šè»ããœãŒã©ãŒããã«ãäœããªãããšã«æ°ã¥ããŠããªãã
圌ãã¯ãç§ãã¡ã®å¥åº·ãç¶æããããã«ãã£ãšå€ãã®æšãå¿ èŠã ãšä¿¡ããŠããããæšãåãåããŠãã¬ããã«ããŠé»æ°ãäœã£ãŠããªããšãã¯ãç§ãã¡ã®æ°ããããžã¿ã«æªæ¥ãã³ã³ãããŒã«ããã®ã«åœ¹ç«ã€æ°ãã5Gæ©åšã®éªéã«ãªãããåãåããŠããã®ã§ãããæè¿ã€ã®ãªã¹ã§è²©å£²ãããŠããããããã¯ãªãŒã³ãªé»æ°ã®å€ãã¯ãæšæãçãããŠã€ãããããã®ã§ãããã®æšæã¯ã¢ã¡ãªã«ããéã°ããæšãåãåãããŠãããã€ãªãã¹ãšããŠç¥ãããæšè³ªãã¬ããã«ããããã£ãŒãŒã«ãšã³ãžã³ã®å€§åè¹ã§å€§è¥¿æŽãæž¡ã£ãŠéã°ããŠããŸãã
ç§ãã¡ãåç³çæã®æ¶è²»ãæžããããã«ã飿ããã€ãªçæã«å€ããäœçŸäžäººãã®äººã ã逿»ãããããšããŠããã®ã§ãããæ°ããã¬ãœãªã³ãšãã€ãªçæã®æ··åçæã¯å€ãè»ã«ã¯äœ¿ããªãã®ã§ãè²§ãã人ã ã¯ã©ããŸã§ãæ©ããŠãããªããã°ãªããªããã«ã«ãæå£ã¯ãæ°åå€åã«ãã£ãŠã³ã¢ã©ïŒä»ã®åç©ãå«ãïŒãçµ¶æ» ãããšäž»åŒµããŠãããçŸåšã30äžé ã®ã³ã¢ã©ãéçã§æ®ãããŠãããã圌ãã®ååšãè ããäž»ãªåå ã¯ããã€ãªçæãæ œå¹ããããã«èŸ²å®¶ãããå€ãã®åå°ãå¿ èŠãšããçµæã圌ãã®çæ¯å°ãç Žå£ãããããšã§ããã
åœé£é£ç³§èŸ²æ¥æ©é¢ã«ãããšã2050幎ãŸã§ã«äœç©ã®åéã¯30ïŒ å¢å ãããšèšãããŠããŸããæè²§åœã§ã¯80ã90ïŒ ã®åéå¢ã«ãªããšãããããããåç©«éã®å¢å ã¯ããã©ã¯ã¿ãŒãéæ©ã®äœ¿çšã«äŸåãããã¡ããç³æ²¹ãå¿ èŠãšããïŒè²§ããåœã®å°æ¹ã¯ãè±ãã«ãªããŸã§é»æ°ãå é»ãã€ã³ããè²·ãããšãã§ããªãïŒãå°çæž©æåè«è ã¯ãè²§ããåœã ãè²§ãããŸãŸã«ããŠãããäœçŸäžäººãã®æ©ææ»äº¡ãåŒãèµ·ããã ããã
ãããŠãå€äººãã¡ã¯ä»ããã°ãªãŒã³ã»ã¹ããŒã«ããçç£ã§ãããšäž»åŒµããŠããã
以åã«ãææããããã«ãç³çã䜿ããã«ééŒãäœãããšã¯äŒçµ±çã«äžå¯èœã§ããã
ãããããã«ã²ã€ãã®é¢é£äŒç€Ÿã§ãé è³ææ°ãªäººã ã®ããã®æ°èãã¬ãŒãã£ã¢ã³ãçŽã«ããã°ãç³çã䜿ããã«ééŒã補é ããèšç»ãé²è¡äžã§ãããšããã
ã©ããã£ããããããªããšãã§ããã®ã ããïŒ
ã©ããããç³çã®ä»£ããã«æ°ŽçŽ ãçæãšããã°ãªãŒã³ã»ã¹ããŒã«ïŒç°å¢ã«åªããééŒïŒã®è£œé ãèšç»ãããŠãããããã
ãã®æ°ŽçŽ ã¯ã©ãããæ¥ãã®ãïŒ
çŽç²ãªæ°ŽçŽ ã¯æã«å ¥ãã«ããã®ã§ã95ïŒ ã¯åç³çæã§äœãããŠããŸãã
ã€ãŸããåç³çæãçãããã«ã°ãªãŒã³ã»ã³ãŒã«ïŒç°å¢ã«åªããç³çïŒãäœãããšããããã§ãã
åç³çæãçãããŠæ°ŽçŽ ãäœãããã®æ°ŽçŽ ã§éãäœããšããããã ãå°éå®¶ã§ãããŽãŒãã³ã»ããŒã¬ãŒã¯ãæ°ŽçŽ ã䜿ãããšã®åé¡ç¹ãä»ã«ãææããŠããã補é ã«è«å€§ãªãšãã«ã®ãŒãå¿ èŠãªããšã貯èµã«å±éºã䌎ãããšã ããã¬ãŒæ°ã«ããã°ã1ãªããã«ã®æ°ŽçŽ ãäœãã®ã«ã1ãªããã«ã®ã¬ãœãªã³ãäœããããå€ãã®ç³æ²¹ã䜿ããšããã®ã ã
ç¬ããããªãã§ãããïŒ
ãããŠè±åœæ¿åºã¯ãã¬ã¹ãã€ã©ãŒãæ°ŽçŽ ãã€ã©ãŒã«åãæ¿ããããæ±ããŠããã
åä¿¡åçã§ãŽããåå¥ããŠãã匷迫ç¥çµçã®ç人ãã¡ã¯ããªãµã€ã¯ã«ã¯ãéãšãšãã«ã®ãŒãšæéãããããçãããå®³ã®æ¹ãã¯ããã«å€ãããšããã¹ãŠã®èšŒæ ãã蚌æãããŠããããšãçè§£ããŠããªãã®ã§ãããã®ãããæ³šææ·±ãåå¥ããããªãµã€ã¯ã«ã®å€ãããæµ·å€ã«æã¡åºãããŠæšãŠãããŠããã®ã§ããä»åé¡ãªã®ã¯ãè²»çšå¯Ÿå¹æãæªãã®ã§ãã€ã®ãªã¹ã®äžèŠãªãªãµã€ã¯ã«ãåãå ¥ããŠãããåœãã»ãšãã©ãªãããšã§ãããªãµã€ã¯ã«è©æ¬ºã¯ãåŸé ããšã³ã³ãã©ã€ã¢ã³ã¹ãäœãåºãããããããŠé ã®æªã人ãã¡ã«ãã¹ã¯ççšãšå®éšçãžã£ãã®æºåããããããã ãã§ãã£ãã
åç³çæããã®è±åŽã¯ãå°çã«ã¯äœã®åœ±é¿ãäžããªãããäœåå人ãã®æ»è ãšããã§ã«å°çª®ããŠãã人ã ãããã«å°çª®ãããã§ãããå€é¡ã®å¢çšãããããããšããã«ã«ãä¿¡è ãã¡ã¯æ°ã«ãçããªãããã§ããã
çã£ãŠåŠä¿¡çãªç°å¢ä¿è·äž»çŸ©è ãã¡ã¯ãç§ãã¡ãåç³çæã䜿ãã®ãæ¢ããããæ°å¹Žã®ãã¡ã«é¢ä¿ããç£æ¥ãæ¶æ» ãããããšãããæ¿æ²»å®¶ãã¡ã¯ãçä¿¡è ãã¡ã®çå£ããèªåãã¡ã®éåžžèãªæ¿çã®èšãèš³ã«ããäºå®ãåœæ°ææ ãç¡èŠããŠãç§ãã¡ã®èª°ãã倧åã«ããŠãããã®ãã¹ãŠãç Žå£ãããããªãã°ãããæ°ããæ³åŸãå°å ¥ããããšããŠãããã¹ã³ããã©ã³ãã§ã¯ãç·ã®å ãšSNPãäžç·ã«ãªã£ãŠãçæ°ã®ã«ã«ãéå£ã®äžæµã®åçãäœãäžããŠããã
黿°èªåè»ã颚åã¿ãŒãã³ãç±ççã«æ¯æãã人ã ã¯ãã³ãã«ãããªããŠã ãããã±ã«ããã®ä»ã®å¿ éåã倧éã«æãåºãããã«ãæ°ããå€§èŠæš¡ãªé±å±±ãå¿ èŠã«ãªãããšã«æ°ã¥ããŠããªãã®ã ãåç³çæã䜿ããã«é±å±±ãæã£ãŠã¿ããã©ãã ããã黿°èªåè»ã¯ãå çãšã³ãžã³ãæèŒããèªåè»ãããäºé žåççŽ æåºéãå€ããããã«äœ¿çšããé»åã¯åç³çæãçãããŠäœãããããšãå€ãããããŠã黿°èªåè»ãè³Œå ¥ããæããªäººã ã¯ãããã«ãããé転ããå ŽæãèŠã€ããã®ã«èŠåŽããããšã«ãªãããªããªããããããå Žæã®éè·¯ããèšèšã®æªãèªè»¢è»å°çšéè·¯ãäœåãã€ã«ãæäŸããããã«åå²ãããããã ã
å°çæž©æåãšãããæ éã«ãæå³çã«ããããŠæ®é ·ã«äœãããç¥è©±ã¯ãä»ãäžççµæžã®äžå¯æ¬ ãªäžéšãšãªã£ãã
å æ¥ãããããã®æè³ãããŒãžã£ãŒãããèªç¶ç°å¢ã®æªåãšå°çæ°åã·ã¹ãã ã®åŽ©å£ãè¿«ãäžãäžçã¯æ¥éã«å€åããŠããããšå ¬èšããã
ããããäžçã®èšŒæ ããªãããããŠèšŒæ ããªãäžã§ãäžå±€éšã®ã«ã«ãæå£ã¯å°çå·¥åŠã䜿ã£ãŠæå³çã«æ°åã®å€åãäœãåºããŠããã圌ãã¯é·ãéãæ°è±¡ãæäœããŠããããè¿å¹Žã¯ãããå éããŠããããŸããå°çæž©æå察çãšç§°ããŠãæå±€åã«å€§éã®çé žã«ã«ã·ãŠã ãéã蟌ã¿ã倪éœãé®ãã€ããã ãããããå®éã«ã¯ãããã¯çè²æéãçããã倧éã®é£¢é€ãåŒãèµ·ããã ãã§ããã
äŒç€Ÿã®åœ¹å¡ãã¡ã¯ãå°çæž©æåç¥è©±ãæšé²ããã«ã«ãä¿¡è ãçä¿¡è ããæ¹å€ãããããšãæããŠãããããéšã ããå°æ°æŽŸã®èšããªãã«ãªã£ãŠããã®ãçŸç¶ã§ããã(çŸåŸ³ã®è±¡åŸŽã®ãããªèç è ãã¡ã¯ãä»ã§ãèªåãã¡ã«æ³å€ãªããŒãã¹ãçµè²»ã幎éãæ¯æã£ãŠããïŒã
äžéšã®äŒç€Ÿã®ãã¹ã¯ãçã£ãæ ªäž»ãèŠå¶åœå±ããéããããã«ãäŒç€Ÿãæ ªåŒåžå Žããå€ããç§æåããããšããŠããã
è±åœå¹Žéç£ç£åºã¯ã幎éå¶åºŠã®ç®¡çè ã«å¯Ÿããæ°åå€åãªã¹ã¯ã®é瀺ã矩åä»ããªããšå€§å€ãªããšã«ãªããšèŠåãããæ¶ç©ºã®å°çæž©æåæžå¿µã«é©åãããããªæºè¶³ãªå€åãããªãäŒæ¥ãžã®æè³ãå ±åããªããã°ãªããªããªãããã®çµæã幎éã¯åçã«æžå°ããã®ã§ã¯ãªãã ãããã
ã¢ã¡ãªã«ã§ã¯ãéèèŠå¶åœå±ã§ããFRBã財åçããéèèŠå¶ã®äžã«å°çæž©æå察çãåãå ¥ããããšãæ€èšããŠãããåãããšããEUãã€ã®ãªã¹ã§ãèµ·ãã£ãŠãããå®éãè±åœã¯äžçããªãŒãããŠãæå§çã§å±éºãªæ°ããèŠå¶ãå°å ¥ããŠããããã«èŠããã
ãã¡ãããå°çæž©æåïŒãããã¯ãã®å€åïŒãç§ãã¡ã®ç掻ã«äœããã®è åšããããããšããèª¬ãæ¯æããç§åŠçæ ¹æ ã¯ãªããšããã®ãçå®ã§ããããŸããŠããæž©æåãéèæ©é¢ãäŒæ¥ã«äœããã®åœ±é¿ãäžãããšããæ ¹æ ã¯ãªãã
ãã¡ãããèµ·ããŠããã®ã¯ãéèèŠå¶ããå¿ èŠã§ããªããã°äžè¬åããããªãããã¢ãžã§ã³ã21ã®äžççãªã»ããã®äžéšã§ãããæã ããã¥ãŒããŒãã«ã®äžçãžãšççã«å°ãããã®æ»æçãªå°çæž©æåæ¿çã匷è¡ããããã«å©çšãããŠããããšã§ããã
ããã«ãããããå Žæã§æŽ»åå®¶ãã以åã¯ç¬ç«ããŠããäŒæ¥ã®çµå¶æš©ãæ¡ã£ãŠããã2021幎5æããªã©ã³ãã®è£å€æã¯ãç³æ²¹äŒç€Ÿã§ããã·ã§ã«ã«å¯Ÿãã2030幎ãŸã§ã«2019幎æ¯ã§45ïŒ ã®ççŽ æåºéãåæžããªããã°ãªããªããšãã倿±ºãäžããŸããã
åããç³æ²¹äŒç€Ÿã®ãšã¯ãœã³ã®æ ªåŒã®ããã0.02ïŒ ãä¿æããæŽ»åå®¶ã°ã«ãŒãã¯ãã©ãã«ãããŠå瀟ã®12人ã®åç· åœ¹äŒã®ãã¡2è°åžãç²åŸããã
ããã«è² ãããšãè±åœæ¿åºã¯2035幎ãŸã§ã«æž©å®€å¹æã¬ã¹ã®æåºéã1990幎æ¯ã§78ïŒ åæžãããšå ¬çŽããŠããããã®éã人å£ãäœçŸäžäººãå¢ããä»åŸãééããªãå¢ãç¶ããããšããèª°ãæ¿åºã«èšã£ãŠããªãããã ã2035幎ã®è±åœã¯ãæããå¯ããæšããªå Žæã«ãªã£ãŠããããšã ãããè±åœã®ç®æšã¯äžçã§æãéå¿çãªãã®ã§ãããçŽçšè ã®è² æ ã¯åãããŠ3å ãã³ãã«éããã ãããå¢çšãè¡ããããããããã®ã«ã³ã¹ãããããããã«ãªããŸããæ¢åã®ææ¿ã調çã·ã¹ãã ã黿°ïŒæ¿æ²»å®¶ãéåå®¶ãæšã§è²ã€ãšæã£ãŠããããã ïŒã«çœ®ãæããã«ã¯ãåå®¶åºã«è«å€§ãªè²»çšããããã
2025幎ããã¯ãå®¶åºã«ã¬ã¹ãã€ã©ãŒãèšçœ®ããããšã¯éæ³ãšãªãããããŠã2030幎代åã°ããã¯ãæ¢åã®ãã€ã©ãŒãã·ã¹ãã ãéæ³ãšãªãã(ããŒããã³ããæç±æãªã©ã®è³Œå ¥ã矩åä»ããããå®¶åºã¯ããããæ°äžãã³ããè²»ãããªããã°ãªããªããªãããããäœå® ãååã«æ¹ç¯ãããŠããªããã°ã2028幎以éãäœå® ææè ã¯äœå® ã売åŽããããšãã§ããªããªããè³è²žãã§ããªããªãããã®çµæãäœå® äŸ¡æ Œã¯äžããïŒæ³çã«èŠæ±ãããæ¹ä¿®ã«è²»çšããããããïŒãè³è²žäŸ¡æ Œã¯é«éš°ããããšã«ãªããè²§ä¹äººã¯ãŸãèŠããããšã«ãªãã
åœé£ã¯ã2020å¹Žã®æ°åå€åç®æšãäžççãªã³ãŽã£ãã19ã®ããã¯ããŠã³ã§ã»ãŒéæããããšå ±åããæåã®ææã®è¡šæ ãæµ®ãã¹ãã
å°çæž©æåããã¢ãæºè¶³ãããããã«ã¯ãã»ãšãã©çµ¶ãéãªãããã¯ããŠã³ãããªããã°ãªããªãã ããã
éæã¡ã®æ¿åºãçããéæã¡ã¯ã2050幎ãŸã§ã«åç³çæã®äœ¿çšãæ¢ãããšçŽæããŠããã圌ãã¯ãã©ãã ãã®çã¿ã䌎ããåãã£ãŠããã®ã ããããè²§ãã人ã ã¯ãççŽ é¢çšã«ãã£ãŠãã®ä»£åãæããªããã°ãªããªããçºå±éäžåœã¯ãåç³çæã®æ¥œãã¿ãå³ããåã«ã眰ããããããšã«ãªããäœå人ãã®äººã ã飢ããšå¯ãã§æ»ã¬ããšã«ãªãããšããã®ã¯éå°è©äŸ¡ã ã
è人ã¶ã£ãŠçŸåŸ³ãæ¯ããããå°çæž©æåããã¢ã¯ãããŸãã«æ å ±äžè¶³ã§ãæå³ããããŠå°çèŠæš¡ã®å€§è殺ã®èšç»ãæ¯æããŠããã®ã ããã圌ããäœããç¥ã£ãŠããŠãæ¬åœã«ç°å¢ã®ããšãæ°ã«ãããŠããã®ãªããç¡æå³ãªãã§ã€ã¹ãã¹ã¯ã«å察ããéåãããã¯ãã ãäœååãšãããã§ã€ã¹ãã¹ã¯ã廿£ãããããããéççç©ã®å€§ããªè åšãšãªã£ãŠããã
圌ããã³ããã19ã®ããã§å€§å€æ°ã远ãè©°ããä»ãç§ãã¡ã¯ä¿¡å¿µãèªèãåå®çŸ©ããæµãåè©äŸ¡ããªããã°ãªããªããäŸãã°ãæç¶å¯èœãªéçºã«ã€ããŠèªãè ã¯æªäººã§ããããšãç¥ãã¹ãã§ãããæç¶å¯èœãªéçºãšããŠç¥ãããå²åŠã¯ãæ°äž»äž»çŸ©ãšäººé¡ã®çµçã«çŽçµãããã®ã§ãããæ±ºããŠåè¯ãªãã®ã§ã¯ãããŸãããç¡èœãªæ°åŠçã¢ãã©ãŒãšãœãŒã·ã£ã«ã¡ãã£ã¢ã®çææã¯ãææãç œããçå®ãèªãè ãæªè ã«ãããšããšåããçç·Žããæè¡ã§ãææãåºããçå®ãæå§ããŠããã®ã§ãã
ãããŠãåœã®ã³ããã»ãã³ãããã¯ã§äžçãæããããçã£ãæãè ãã¡ã¯ãç§ãäºèšããããã«ãä»åºŠã¯åœã®å°çæž©æåãã³ãããã¯ã§äžçãæããããã€ããã ãç§ãèŠåããäžåœåŒã®ç€ŸäŒä¿¡çšã·ã¹ãã ã¯ããã§ã«ããã«ãããå°çæž©æåã¯ãèŠåã匷åããç§ãã¡ãããã«æå§ããããã«å©çšãããã ãããããããªåœç°å¢ä¿è·äž»çŸ©è ãã¡ã¯ãåè¯ã§ãåæã§ããªãã圌ãã¯ãæ å ±äžè¶³ããæãããæªæããããããã®3ã€ãã¹ãŠã§ããããããŠã圌ãã¯ç§ãã¡ã®æµã§ããã
ã³ãã19ã®è©æ¬ºã¯å§ãŸãã«éããªãã®ã§ã¯ãšæãã
å°çæž©æåãšããèãã«ã¯ãæ¯ã®åŠç²Ÿãååšããã®ãšåãããã確ããªäºå®ãé ãããŠããã®ã ããšããã®ããç§ã¯å¹Œãé ãæå ã«æ¯ã眮ããŠèµ·ãããšã6ãããŒçŽå¹£ã«ããæ¿ããããŠããããšãããããã ãåœæã¯6ãããŒã ã£ããã§ããã
ã€ãŸããæ¯ã®åŠç²Ÿã®ååšãè£ä»ããçŸå®çãªèšŒæ ã¯ãå°çæž©æåãå°çå·åŽãæ°åå€åããããã¯ç²Ÿç¥ç°åžžè ãä»é±æ±ºããåŒã³åãããå€ãååšããã®ã§ããã