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Highlights

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Iran nuclear monthly monitor August update available

Latest

Policy alert
Ein Foto zeigt einen Mann in dunklem Anzug mit violetter Krawatte, der mit erhobener Hand winkt vor einem blauen Bildschirm.

Associate membership could transform EU-Canada ties. First, Brussels has to define it

  • Anand Sundar
Ein Foto zeigt eine ernst blickende Person in dunklem Anzug und roter Krawatte bei einer Pressekonferenz vor dunklem Hinterg­

An outsider within: The paradox of the Europe-Turkey relationship

  • AslÄą AydÄąntaşbaş, Evren Balta

Featured

Ein Foto zeigt zwei MÃĪnner in dunklen AnzÞgen, die sich gegenÞberstehen und sprechen vor zwei Flaggen in einem Raum.

Middle powerhouse: A new blueprint for British internationalism

  • Anthony Dworkin
  • Policy Brief

Britain is the custodian of a global order that no longer exists. Its international approach should now centre innovative cooperation and building strong coalitions with like-minded partners

Ein Foto zeigt mehrere erleuchtete Wolkenkratzer am Ufer bei Nacht mit Wasserreflexionen.

Little Venice, little Sparta: The UAE’s statecraft meets the war on Iran

  • Cinzia Bianco
  • Policy Brief

The UAE built its power by turning itself into a hub that binds it to every great power at once. The war with Iran has tested this strategy and is forcing a rethink in Abu Dhabi

Policy alert
Ein Foto zeigt einen Mann mit weißem Bart und Kopftuch, umgeben von Menschen mit erhobenen FÃĪusten bei einer Nachtkundgebung.

The strait and narrow: Yemen, the Red Sea and Europe’s path forward

  • Julien Barnes-Dacey, Cinzia Bianco, Ellie Geranmayeh
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Houthi advances now threaten Saudi Arabia’s most viable oil-export route. Europeans should strengthen Riyadh’s maritime and air defences, and mobilise a wider diplomatic coalition to end the US-Iran war driving the escalation

Midterms Cover

Life of the party: Democrats and the search for a post-Trump future

  • CÃĐlia Belin, Chris Herrmann, Nevada Joan Lee
  • Policy Brief

The race for US midterms reveals a rapidly changing Democratic party. Europeans must understand and engage its three camps well before the party could take power

Upcoming events

29 Sep

Little Venice or Little Sparta? The United Arab Emirates’ Middle Power Model and Implications for Europe

  • 29 September 2026 Online
6 Oct

What is the European Idea of Power in an Age of Chaos? How Europe can build alliances and defend its interests when the rules no longer

  • 6 October 2026

Recent events

17 Sep

The Embedded Outsider: Turkey as a Middle Power and its Relations to Europe

  • 17 September 2026 Online
17 Sep

Brewed in China 2035: How can Europe compete in the next industrial race?

  • 17 September 2026 Online

Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Foto WPress podcast

Ukraine’s winter of pressure

  • Podcast
  • Mark Leonard's World in 30 minutes

Mark Leonard welcomes Jana Kobzova to discuss the mountain pressure on Ukraine and how Europe can help it weather another wartime winter

Listen

ECFR on air

2

Ukraine: The battle beyond war

  • Podcast
  • ECFR on air
  • The Neighbourhood

Jessica Hendrick welcomes Roman Petrov and Svitlana Zalishchuk to discuss Ukraine’s simultaneous fight for survival on the frontlines and battle for democracy at home

Listen

Views from the Council

Ein Foto zeigt eine ÃĪltere Frau mit rotem Turban, die mit ausgestrecktem Zeigefinger auf einer dunklen BÞhne spricht.

Remembering Emma Bonino

  • Mark Leonard, Mabel van Oranje
  • Obituary
  • View from the Council
  • 2 minute read

ECFR founding member and co-chair emerita Emma Bonino has died at the age of 78. A towering figure in European foreign policy, she was an inspiration to millions across the continent. She left a deep mark on European and Italian politics, and on ECFR

Ein Foto zeigt einen Mann im Anzug, der hinter einer sprechenden Frau mit Brille in einem Konferenzraum steht.

The EU’s unfinished business in the Western Balkans

  • Milica Delević
  • View from the Council
  • 3 minute read

Montenegro and Albania are moving closer to EU membership. But Brussels should not forget its responsibility towards the Western Balkans as a whole

In the Media - Council

Arancha GonzÃĄlez Laya
Politico Europe 16 September 2026

Arancha GonzÃĄlez Laya on Europe’s geopolitical outlook

SÞddeutsche Zeitung 3 September 2026

Karolina Wigura on the origin and impact of political ideas

Carl Bildt
La Regione 27 August 2026

Carl Bildt on the neutrality of the Swiss Confederation

Carl Bildt
Handelsblatt 26 August 2026

Carl Bildt on CIA director Ratcliffe’s visit to Moscow

Featured and flagship projects

The Data Collection

Explore our open-access data platform for unparalleled access to ECFR’s public opinion polls—empowering research and insight on today’s key foreign policy issues.

Featured
Trump Shadow 2

Transatlantic twilight: European public opinion and the long shadow of Trump

  • Jana Puglierin, Arturo Varvelli, Paweł Zerka

Re:Engage

This project helps the EU in refining its foreign policy, re-engaging neighbours post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine to bolster regional resilience and advance enlargement policies.

Featured
EU Flags hanging from the queue barriers during the Open Doors Day

The interest of values: The EU’s democracy promotion in the Western Balkans and the eastern neighbourhood

  • Piotr Buras, Marie Dumoulin, Tefta Kelmendi, Marlene Marx

Re:Order

Re:Order project explores emerging visions of the global order, as well as the interplay between economic might and geopolitical influence.

Featured
Green transition world order

The electric endgame: Europe’s clean path out of vassalage

  • Alberto Rizzi

Subscribe to our newsletters

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Discover our newsletters

Latest

Policy alert
Ein Foto zeigt einen Mann in dunklem Anzug mit violetter Krawatte, der mit erhobener Hand winkt vor einem blauen Bildschirm.

Associate membership could transform EU-Canada ties. First, Brussels has to define it

  • Anand Sundar
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Canada’s enthusiasm for closer EU ties is real, and so is the EU’s need for allies beyond America. But as long as the EU’s offer of “associate membership” to Canada remains undefined, it risks ending up as empty symbolism

Ein Foto zeigt eine ernst blickende Person in dunklem Anzug und roter Krawatte bei einer Pressekonferenz vor dunklem Hinterg­

An outsider within: The paradox of the Europe-Turkey relationship

  • AslÄą AydÄąntaşbaş, Evren Balta
  • Policy Brief

Turkey is neither drifting away from the West nor is it coming home. It has become an embedded outsider: a middle power that has learned to build strategic autonomy from inside the Western system rather than by leaving it

Policy alert
Ein Foto zeigt zwei MÃĪnner beim HÃĪndedruck vor einer dekorativen SÃĪulenhalle.

Indian summer: The BRICS summit and warming New Delhi-Beijing relations

  • James Crabtree
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

Xi Jinping’s attendance at the BRICS summit in New Delhi underlines the recent normalisation in Sino-Indian relations. This should encourage the EU to speed up its efforts to deepen ties with India

Ein Foto zeigt eine ÃĪltere Frau mit rotem Turban, die mit ausgestrecktem Zeigefinger auf einer dunklen BÞhne spricht.

Remembering Emma Bonino

  • Mark Leonard, Mabel van Oranje
  • Obituary
  • View from the Council
  • 2 minute read

ECFR founding member and co-chair emerita Emma Bonino has died at the age of 78. A towering figure in European foreign policy, she was an inspiration to millions across the continent. She left a deep mark on European and Italian politics, and on ECFR

Ein Foto zeigt einen Mann im Anzug, der hinter einer sprechenden Frau mit Brille in einem Konferenzraum steht.

The EU’s unfinished business in the Western Balkans

  • Milica Delević
  • View from the Council
  • 3 minute read

Montenegro and Albania are moving closer to EU membership. But Brussels should not forget its responsibility towards the Western Balkans as a whole

Ein Foto zeigt einen sitzenden Mann in dunklem Anzug vorne im Saal vor zwei großen Flaggen, wÃĪhrend mehrere Personen auf Stuh

Booted, then suited: Veterans and the making of Putin’s new proto-elite

  • Mikhail Komin
  • Policy Brief

The Kremlin is promoting Ukraine war veterans–cultivating a proto-elite who could reinforce Russia’s militarised course

In the media

Our experts are available for media requests. Our work involves many issues relating to Europe and foreign policy, and our programmes focus on Africa, Asia, the Middle East & North Africa, and Wider Europe.

All our experts Newsroom
Fredrik Wesslau
Mediapool 24 September 2026

Fredrik Wesslau on Trump sabotaging peace efforts in Ukraine

Cinzia Bianco
Internazionale 24 September 2026

Cinzia Bianco on Houthis escalation in Yemen and Saudi Arabia’s deterrence options

Paweł Zerka
Euronews 24 September 2026

The special Future nostalgia: Europe’s unfinished song  by Pawel Zerka mentioned by Euronews

Deutsche Welle 23 September 2026

Jana Puglierin and Jeremy Cliffe on the consequences of the state elections on Germany’s EU politics

Cinzia Bianco
Agenzia Nova 23 September 2026

Cinzia Bianco on Saudi Arabia’s diplomacy ahead of the escalation with the Houthis

Vessela Tcherneva
Telegraph 23 September 2026

Vessela Tcherneva on the German state elections and the rise of far-right parties in Europe

More on Africa

Hafen Rotterdam

The ammonia age: How Europe and Africa can steer global shipping to net zero

  • Sarah Logan
  • Policy Brief

The IMO’s Net-Zero Framework is critical for EU competitiveness and the clearest path to decarbonise shipping. African backing may prove decisive as American and Gulf pressure stalls progress


Power up: How EU-Africa cooperation can drive Europe’s battery recycling future

  • Sarah Logan
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

Two of a kind: How France and Italy can show the way for Europe’s Africa policy

  • Maddalena Procopio, Suzanne Tisserand
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

More on Asia

China EU swarm paper

The art of the swarm: Systemic rivalry with China on European terms

  • Andrew Small
  • Policy Brief

The EU can exploit its system to say no to China—now, and long into the future


A future with Chinese characteristics

  • Mark Leonard
  • Commentary
  • 3 minute read

Cold comfort: What China can teach Europe about adaptation

  • Byford Tsang
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on European Power

FutureNostalgia CoverArt

Future nostalgia: Europe’s unfinished song

  • Paweł Zerka
  • Special

ECFR’s new research reveals Europeans are suffering from an imagination gap. Many people want to see Europe strong and flourishing—but fewer can picture a credible route from today’s disruptions to that destination


Friends without benefits: Why the EU should offer Canada more than casual defence ties

  • Anand Sundar
  • Commentary
  • 7 minute read

Beyond Saxony-Anhalt: What Merz’s crisis means for Europe

  • Jeremy Cliffe, Jana Puglierin
  • Policy Alert
  • 2 minute read

More on European Security

BelaBear

In the bear’s paw: How Europeans can loosen Russia’s grip on Belarus

  • Vasil Navumau
  • Policy Brief

Russia’s growing military intervention in Belarus poses a frontline security challenge for Europe. The EU needs to develop a more pragmatic strategy based on protecting its eastern border and shaping Minsk’s autonomy away from Moscow


Against war, drought and hunger: A global coalition to prevent a food crisis

  • Cary Fowler, Jana KobzovÃĄ, Jim O’Brien
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

NATO’s digital arsenal: How Europe can avoid a new dependence on America

  • Gustav Gressel
  • Commentary
  • 5 minute read

More on Middle East and North Africa

Iran nuclear monitor Month by month thumbnail image

Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month

  • Ellie Geranmayeh
  • Special

America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran’s path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current evidence about Iran’s nuclear activities to determine which of six possible scenarios is most likely


Britons back ban on trade with Israeli settlements by more than two to one

  • Hugh Lovatt
  • Commentary
  • 2 minute read

Climate of concern: The changing face of social movements in North Africa

  • Anthony Dworkin
  • Commentary
  • 4 minute read

More on United States

Ein Foto zeigt einen Soldaten in Tarnuniform, von hinten stehend vor einem Grenzschild und Stacheldrahtzaun am Übergang.

Managed disorder: The hard road to a modest peace with Russia after Ukraine

  • Jeremy Shapiro, with Samuel Charap, Bob Deen, Hiski Haukkala, Ivan Krastev, Hanna Notte, Jim O’Brien
  • Policy Brief

When the fighting in Ukraine stops, America and Europe will likely end up facing Russia in a low-grade rivalry for years to come. Here is how to prevent that disordered rivalry from sliding into another war


Anti-corruption sanctions: Preparing for the time after Trump

  • Sarah McCool, Jim O’Brien
  • Commentary
  • 6 minute read

America’s “direct return” doctrine—and what it means for the world

  • Jim O’Brien
  • Commentary
  • 7 minute read
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